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Hashdex tips spot Bitcoin ETFs to trade by Q2, followed by Ethereum

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Hashdex, one of many 13 asset managers vying for spot Bitcoin (BTC) exchange-traded fund, expects to see the primary spot Bitcoin ETF in america land by the second quarter of 2024, adopted by a spot Ether (ETH) ETF.

“The precise timing of a spot Bitcoin ETF within the U.S. stays unclear, however in 2023, the narrative round this product switched from a query of ‘if’ to a matter of ‘when,’” mentioned Hashdex’s U.S. and Europe head of product Dramane Meite in a 2024 outlook report, revealed on Dec. 4.

“We consider U.S. traders could have entry to a spot Bitcoin ETF by the second quarter of the brand new 12 months and {that a} spot Ether ETF is more likely to observe.”

Hashdex is among the 13 asset managers with a spot Bitcoin ETF bid earlier than the Securities and Alternate Fee. It has additionally pitched a hybrid Ether ETF that holds each futures and spot contracts to the identical regulator.

Whereas Bloomberg ETF analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have pinned 90% odds that spot Bitcoin ETFs can be accepted within the days main as much as Jan. 10, 2024, Seyffart has beforehand famous that this refers solely to the 19b-Four purposes — and {that a} separate type, often called the “S-1,” should even be accepted for an ETF to launch.

Seyffart famous in November that “there might be weeks and even months between approval and launch.”

Firms use the S-1 type to tell the SEC of proposed rule adjustments and require sign-off from the company’s Division of Company Finance.

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In Hashdex’s report, Meite mentioned spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs would see “legacy asset managers with hundreds of employees and trusted manufacturers” supply their clients a crypto product for the primary time.

He believed this is able to unlock a $50 trillion market, bigger than Europe, Canada and Brazil mixed — the one three international markets with spot crypto exchange-traded merchandise.

Meite anticipated many of the curiosity in single-asset ETFs will concentrate on Bitcoin and Ether, “given their title recognition and little differentiation amongst incumbents.”

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