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Bitcoin price falls below its ‘realized price’ but is it time to buy the dip?

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On June 13, cryptocurrency costs plunged deeper into bear market territory after Bitcoin (BTC) sliced by means of its present buying and selling vary and briefly touched $22,600, its lowest stage se since December 2020.

In response to BTC historic knowledge, the market has now reached valuation metrics that present the worth is severely oversold and maybe close to a backside. Bitcoin has now fallen beneath its realized value, which represents the typical value of each coin in provide based mostly on the time it was final spent on-chain.

Bitcoin realized value vs. precise value. Supply: Glassnode

Whereas the ache that this most up-to-date capitulation has wrought throughout the ecosystem can’t be understated, the one glimmer of hope it provides weary crypto merchants is that the worst of the decline might have occurred. The approaching days will verify this idea and proof could be establishments and retail merchants stepping in to purchase the dip.

“Shrimps and whales” accumulate

On-chain knowledge reveals that not all merchants really feel devastated about Bitcoin at yearly lows. Shrimp wallets, wallets that maintain lower than 1 BTC, and whale wallets with greater than 10,000 BTC have been in accumulation mode for the reason that outdated Terra (LUNA), now often called Luna Basic (LUNC), collapsed in early Might.

Bitcoin accumulation development rating by cohort. Supply: Glassnode

According to data from blockchain intelligence provider Glassnode, shrimp wallets “have seen a net balance growth of +20,863 since the May 9th Luna crash,” and a total increase of 96,300 BTC since November’s all-time high (ATH).

Whale wallets have likewise been busy during this period of time as “this cohort has a monthly position change peak of ~140k BTC/month” and has added a total of +306,358 BTC since its all-time high in November.

Related: Bitcoin analysts are watching these BTC price levels as key trendline looms

Support is limited in the mid-$20,000 range

Part of the reason for the rapid sell-off on June 13 was the lack of demand in the $20,000 to $27,000 range as shown on the following entity-adjusted unspent realized price distribution chart.

Entity-adjusted unspent realized price distribution. Source: Glassnode

While there is a heavy amount of demand near the $30,000 and $40,000 price ranges, some of the lowest volumes were found between $20,000 and $27,000, which left little support as the price of BTC crashed in the early hours on June 13.

Relief may be in sight, however, as the saying goes “it’s always darkest before the dawn” and this could apply to the current state of the crypto market based on several metrics.

According to the RVT ratio, which compares the realized capitalization against the daily volume settled on-chain, “the network valuation is now 80 times larger than the daily value settled,” which indicates a low amount of on-chain activity.

Bitcoin entity-adjusted RVT ratio. Source: Glassnode

Glassnode said,

“In past bear cycles, an underutilized network has provided confluence with bear market bottoms.”

The RVT ratio is currently at its highest level since 2010, which may suggest that the market has reached the point of max pain and could see improvements soon, but the possibility of further weakness can not be ruled out.

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $980 billion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 46.3%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.